Analysis
Can OP Reclaim 200% Gains Before 2025 Ends?
Credit : coinpedia.org
The dialogue surrounding optimism in regards to the 2025 worth forecast is intensifying because the Layer-2 token navigates via one of the crucial crucial phases of the 12 months. After months of continued decline, Optimism OP’s present November worth motion is in a key demand zone that might form the subsequent massive transfer, which may very well be a 200% bullish reversal or new lows.
Years of decline units the stage for November’s essential take a look at
All through 2025, the Optimism crypto remained in a pronounced downtrend. The 12 months opened round $2.18 earlier than persistently falling right into a steep descending wedge sample, hitting a low of $0.234 on October 10. This prolonged bearish interval illustrates how weak bullish demand has been repeatedly overshadowed by dominant promoting stress.


Nevertheless, November brings a notable shift. The optimism ON The worth is presently consolidating across the decrease finish of the wedge, round $0.390, whereas the Optimism OP market cap is stabilizing round $737.77 million. This zone has traditionally functioned as a response level, making the present setup crucial to any significant optimism in regards to the 2025 worth forecast.
Technical indicators level to rising shopping for energy
Whereas the short-term EMA bands, particularly the 20-day and 50-day, proceed to suppress upside breakout makes an attempt for the time being, momentum indicators inform a distinct story.
The Bullish MACD has already proven a bullish cross with a slowly rising histogram, indicating that purchaser conviction in November is doing its greatest to enhance from the present vary.
Likewise, the histogram of the AO indicators can also be recovering from October’s bearish dominance, reinforcing the concept that near-term bullish power is actually coming again to the market. The cash stream metrics are additionally shifting upwards, with the CMF at 0.02, confirming constructive inflows.
In the meantime, the RSI has risen from the oversold stage to 42.86, indicating a restoration in the direction of a extra impartial to bullish zone. If this momentum pushes the RSI above 55-60, a sharper rally is probably going.


Because of this, a attainable retest of the higher restrict of the wedge close to $0.70 appears possible for the time being. This stage corresponds to the 200-day EMA, which represents a serious structural barrier.
A breakout above this stage might speed up optimism on the 2025 worth forecast in the direction of the $1.20 area earlier than the 12 months ends. Conversely, the lack to maintain present demand might expose psychological help close to $0.10.
Energy within the chain counteracts worth weak spot
Aside from OP’s subdued worth motion and regardless of a pointy decline in TVL from $1.02 billion in March 2024 to $301.42 million at this time, optimism remains to be removed from the inactive state and moribund state that many assume after witnessing the crash of TVL and total worth.


In keeping with Defillama, the community hosts 352 protocols, together with Uniswap, AAVE, Chainlink, Morpho, Farcaster and plenty of extra. the OP ecosystem nonetheless hosts aggressive and related actions within the chain.


Furthermore, the basics of blockchain stay sturdy. Daily transactions on OP Mainnet continues to point out an upward development, whereas the entire variety of totally different addresses has risen to a report excessive of 384.257 million.


This rising consumer base reinforces its long-term utility and helps constructive optimism in regards to the 2025 worth forecast regardless of current declines.
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