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Polymarket survives post-election drop-off though volume falls 60%

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Credit : cryptoslate.com

Polymarket, the main prediction markets platform, has proven groundbreaking exercise in its markets in latest months. With the US presidential elections, main sporting occasions and main crypto milestones as central matters, the information illustrates a major post-election consumer decline. Nonetheless, quantity and exercise stay largely in an uptrend even with out the historic market.

Polymarket user activity (source: Dune Analytics API)
Polymarket consumer exercise (supply: Dune Analytics API)

In line with Dune Analytics knowledge, Polymarket included most engagement for the ‘Presidential Election Winner 2024’ market, with day by day consumer participation of over 49,000 within the days surrounding the elections. Sporting occasions such because the Champions League and the Tremendous Bowl have additionally seen nice curiosity.

Particularly, the “Tremendous Bowl Champion 2025 market” maintained regular consumer participation and day by day figures persistently reached the 1000’s. This strengthens the platform’s post-election skill to draw a broad viewers past monetary and political predictions, tapping into mainstream leisure and sports activities.

Different markets, primarily associated to potential cryptocurrency value actions, additionally acquired constant consideration, reflecting the platform’s attraction amongst contributors looking for market-oriented insights.

Buying and selling volumes inform a parallel story, with the US elections producing disproportionate curiosity. As detailed within the knowledge, cumulative buying and selling quantity exceeded $2.4 billion month-to-month, indicating a sturdy intersection of finance, hypothesis and socio-political developments.

Polymarket Monthly Volume (Source: Dune Analytics API)Polymarket Monthly Volume (Source: Dune Analytics API)
Polymarket Month-to-month Quantity (Supply: Dune Analytics API)

Nonetheless, figures from November to this point present a decline to round $80 million per day, in comparison with the typical of $300 million within the run-up to the election. But when the US election markets are excluded from the evaluation, there’s nonetheless a continued day by day enhance in consumer exercise.

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Polymarket daily volume (Source: Dune Analytics)Polymarket daily volume (Source: Dune Analytics)
Polymarket day by day quantity (Supply: Dune Analytics)

Polymarket’s efficiency throughout these months and continued curiosity in markets exterior of US politics spotlight its persistence within the prediction market area and knowledge indicating sturdy consumer engagement and important buying and selling volumes.

Present developments due to this fact recommend that the crypto prediction market bubble has not burst for the reason that finish of the US elections. Though consumer interplay has decreased considerably, the information is actually encouraging.

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