RFK Jr.’s Campaign Suspension Gives Donald Trump a Lead Over Kamala Harris: Polymarket

New knowledge from decentralized prediction market Polymarket reveals Donald Trump main Kamala Harris within the polls after Robert Kennedy Jr. had suspended his presidential marketing campaign.

In response to the crypto on line casino, which permits customers to guess on the result of something, Trump now has a 51% probability of profitable the 2024 presidential election, whereas Harris – who took over as Democratic candidate from Joe Biden final month – noticed her possibilities drop to 48%.

“This market will resolve ‘Sure’ if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election. In any other case, this market will resolve ‘No.’

The decision supply for this market is Related Press, Fox Information and NBC. This market will likely be resolved as soon as all three sources name the race for a similar candidate.

If all three sources don’t name the race for a similar candidate earlier than the inauguration date (January 20, 2025), this market will resolve itself based mostly on who’s inaugurated.”

The information reveals that greater than $705 million in bets on the election have been positioned via Polymarket up to now.

RFK Jr., a Democrat who ran as an impartial, just lately introduced he would droop his marketing campaign after polling simply 2%. He supported Trump.

In July, bettors on Polymarket predicted a few 6 in 10 probability that Biden would maintain on for the rest of his presidency regardless of dropping out of the race and endorsing Harris.

Weeks earlier, the market predicted a 35% probability that Biden would drop out of the race. He retired on July 21.

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Featured picture: Shutterstock/Tithi Luadthong